four
5,087 posts
msg #132361
- Ignore four |
11/5/2016 10:53:21 AM
Detrick [Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial] said that since 1931 there have been 22 times when the S&P 500 posted a losing streak of eight days or more. In those instances, the S&P 500 rose over the next 12 months 76% of the time, with an average return of 14%. Stocks also rose in the six-month period after such a streak 74% of the times, returning 8.9% on average.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-happens-after-the-sp-500-falls-9-days-in-a-row-2016-11-04
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132367
- Ignore four |
11/6/2016 9:24:38 AM
http://undervaluedstocks.info/11-momentum-calculations/
Calculating Momentum 11 ways
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132478
- Ignore four |
11/12/2016 12:10:59 AM
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/what-norways-doing-right-when-it-comes-to-retirement-that-were-not_us_581c9510e4b0aac624839c9f
retirement
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132483
- Ignore four |
11/12/2016 9:51:14 PM
http://www.trading-naked.com/Articles_and_Reprints.htm
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132542
- Ignore four |
11/15/2016 11:29:48 AM
https://rightsideofthechart.com/adjusting-position-sizing-stops-profit-targets-when-trading-volatile-stocks/
On a final & related note which I feel is very important to consider is the relationship between volatility & stops. A lot of traders that I talk to have a very difficult & frustrating time trading the miners because their stops are constantly being clipped, with the trade often going on to play out for what would have been a very nice gain, as they (for the most part) read the charts correctly. I realize that the stops on some of my trades might seem excessive & some might immediate think ”Are you crazy?.. a 20%+ stop-allowance on a trade?..No way!” Well first of all, to each his own; never take a trade that you are not comfortable with or doesn’t mess with your trading style or rules.
Now for my reasoning behind what might appear as excessive stops on some of the trade ideas posted here: It is all relative. For example, if I decide to short DUST for what I plan to be a multi-month long swing trade on GDX (shorting DUST gives you a long exposure plus, it lets the decay work for your position instead of against it), I might allow for a 20%+ stop if my profit target is for a gain of 60% or more. First of all, one must not forget that DUST is 3x (300%) leveraged ETF. Therefore, that is effectively about an 8.3% equivalent stop loss on GDX or the mining sector with a equivalent profit target of about 30%, still a 3:1 R/R.
In mid-Feb, the ATR (average true range) on GDX peaked at over 1.00, which means that GDX, ON AVERAGE was experiencing daily price swings of more than $1 per share at a time when the share price was only $19 or less. That equates to an AVERAGE intraday price swing over over 5.3% on GDX. Now juice that up by 300% and you get an average daily price swing of about 16% on DUST & NUGT. Therefore, this is what I’ve said to traders in the past when swing trading the miners: Either allow for very wide stops (commensurate with your gain potential/profit targets, of course) or don’t bother trading the miners at all because you are all but guaranteed to have your stops run if you plan to be in that trade for more than a few days if using tight stops.
Given, most traders don’t have the stomach or deep pockets to swallow a 20%+ loss on an typical position but they do if they adjust their position size down according because again, percentage gains are relative whereas DOLLAR gains & losses are what matters. If you normally trade the SPY (with a typical ATR between 1-2%) in $10k position sizes with 5% stop-losses & 15%+ profit targets, then GDX should be traded in a position size of at least half that ($5k), cutting that down by another 1/3rd of trading NUGT or DUST while allow doubling (and then tripling from there if DUST/NUGT) your total percentage stop-allowance & price targets, which should expose you to roughly the same total dollar gains or losses, per trade, as would trading the SPY.
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132606
- Ignore four |
11/17/2016 9:13:36 PM
https://www.sefcu.com/MortgageMatch/
First-Time Homebuyer? Don't Pass up our Mortgage Match Program!
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Here's how it works. You'll make regular deposits (at least $20 per month) into a Mortgage Match account for a period of 10 to 24 months. You'll also need to attend free seminars on finance and homeownership to help you learn how to budget and pay bills. At the end of the saving period, you'll receive a match from the Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) that is equal to $4 for every $1 you saved. Click here for more information.
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132632
- Ignore four |
11/19/2016 1:54:25 AM
www.reuters.com/article/us-volkswagen-costs-idUSKBN13D0UJ
VW cut 30,000 jobs
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132763
- Ignore four
modified |
11/24/2016 8:36:00 AM
http://wolfstreet.com/2016/11/22/strongest-pillar-of-the-shaky-us-economy-has-cracked/
Car
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132814
- Ignore four |
11/26/2016 8:25:23 PM
Bumped into this... (no knowledge of the product)
http://forexsb.com/index.php
Testing and Trading Forex Strategies
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four
5,087 posts
msg #132849
- Ignore four |
11/28/2016 1:51:10 AM
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/crude-remains-under-pressure-after-saudis-back-out-of-russia-meeting-2016-11-28
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