| StockFetcher Forums · Stock Picks and Trading · Follow The Money (Options) | << 1 ... 14 15 16 17 18 ... 31 >>Post Follow-up |
| shillllihs 6,101 posts msg #141137 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/18/2018 2:44:20 PM Even if it's just Hey, Drv looks a little interesting, or check out Drip. That would be good confirmation. Thanx 15. |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #141157 - Ignore 15minofPham |
1/18/2018 11:08:22 PM Big Option Volume Play of the Day - MAT A total of 17,329 repeated buys of the 1/26 16.50 Calls between .23 and .40 when stock was between $14.95 & $15.54. The largest purchase was only $60K, but it was enough to warrant a follow as this expires next week. Its total Calls vs Puts volume pct was 91-9 and its order sentiment was an astounding 97%, much much higher than its 30-day avg of 35%. Break even is between $16.73 and $16.90 which is 11% away from its closing price of $15.23. Somebody knows something is about to come down the line to move the stock this much in only a week. This would almost be a Herculean move for MAT as it has gained over 10% in a week only twice over the past 52 weeks. DISCLAIMER: I bought in at .30. Yesterday's spotlight - AKS 2/16 7 Call .33, Stock $6.42 AKS was not able to have a follow through day today after a big day yesterday. It ended up down -1.50% which put the option price down to .43 which is still higher than the .33 purchase price. The buyer is still sitting on a 30% gain. DUST 2/16 39 Call .05-.10, Stock $21.30 DUST was up 4.30% to $22.30 but the option price remained at .05. It needs to move big & fast in order to see a change in premium as it's so far out of the money right now. |
| lavapit315 47 posts msg #141182 - Ignore lavapit315 |
1/19/2018 5:38:58 PM Nice MAT call |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #141236 - Ignore 15minofPham |
1/21/2018 10:15:01 PM Big Option Volume Play of the Day - MLCO A premium of $975K on 13,000 of the 2/16 30 Call for .75 when stock at $29.07. Daily chart show bullish MACD X-Over and break even of $30.75 will give it a 52 week high. Total option Call/Put volume pct was 88-12 while bullish order sentiment was 96% which was a lot higher than its 30-day avg of 68%. DISCLOSURE: I bought at .82. Yesterday's spotlight - MAT 1/26 $16.50 Call between .23 and .40, Stock between $14.95 and $15.54 MAT gained 5.95% to close at $16.14 which helped the 1/26 $16.50 Call to .55. Investors that bought at .23 saw a gain of 139% while at .40 saw 38%. DISCLOSURE: I bought at .30. Gain is currently 78.6%. |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #141272 - Ignore 15minofPham |
1/22/2018 11:48:31 PM Big Option Volume Play of the Day - VMW A premium of $2.1 million on 7,000 of the 7/20 160 Call for $3.10 with stock at $136.87. Somebody thinks VMW will continue to grind higher for yet sometime as break even of $163.10 is 19.32% above its closing price of $136.69. Total option Call/Put volume pct was 70-30 while bullish order sentiment was only 10% which is lower than its 30-day avg of 48%. This was due to MC categorizing this trade as a Spread rather than an outright Call. The break even is achievable if VMW has a positive reaction to the next two earnings reports. DISCLOSURE: No position. Friday's spotlight - MLCO 13K 2/16 30 Call .75, Stock $29.07 MLCO hit a high of $30.21 in the initial 30 minutes but then promptly faded and went sideways the rest of the day to close at $29.54. The option closed at .90 giving the big buyer sitting on a 20% gain. It went as high as $1.22. OI showing 14K in volume suggesting they haven't sold yet. |
| mahkoh 1,065 posts msg #141285 - Ignore mahkoh |
1/23/2018 3:44:01 PM SQ a $7.6 million straddle at the 42.5 strike expiring Feb16, 15.000 contracts on each side. Not earnings related as these are scheduled to be released after the options expire. With the stock at 44.99 this would seem to be leaning towards the bullish side, if it were a neutral bet the 45 strike would have been the logical choice. |
| Daniel Kotas 2 posts msg #141286 - Ignore Daniel Kotas |
1/23/2018 3:51:47 PM Wow, nice trade, thank you-hope it turns out good as well as to MLCO one. Thank you! |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #141299 - Ignore 15minofPham |
1/23/2018 9:22:45 PM Mahkoh, On 1/9 I bought SQ 1/18 42 Call at .48, sold two days later at .96. Weekly show bullish MACD X-Over so it should go over $50 for new high. |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #141301 - Ignore 15minofPham |
1/23/2018 10:04:50 PM Big Option Volume Play of the Day - QQQ A premium of $6.3 million on 24,852 of the 3/16 166 Put for $2.56 with stock at $169.50. This is a hedge play for a pullback. I normally don't pay attention to a lot of SPY, QQQ, IWM hedge plays, but when it's over $6 million, caution should be noted. Even if it's insurance, $6 million is not something to sneeze at. As with the market, QQQ has been going up non-stop with only two losing days this year which has elevated its daily RSI to 84.40. Break even on this play is $163.44 which means it needs to drop 3.58% in two months. DISCLOSURE: No position. Monday's spotlight - VMW 7K 7/20 160 Call $3.10, Stock $136.87 Gained 0.93% to close at $137.96 which is negligible so it didn't move the option price. May have to wait until earnings which is sometime first week in March. |
| 15minofPham 171 posts msg #141302 - Ignore 15minofPham |
1/23/2018 10:49:36 PM I've been keeping track of how big money plays have fared this year. These are the rules to streamline the tracking process. 1) Sell at 50/75/100% profits depending on your risk tolerance. Columns "Days to 50/75/100" show number of days it took to reach each level. Zero means it accomplished same day as purchase assuming you bought close to the big money price. Of course, almost all of us will continue to hold even after it reaches 100% until we see the trend has changed. Take FCAU 6/15 22 Call for example. It closed yesterday at $3.88 giving you an 870% gain. If you had invested $1K, this would give you a profit of $8700. But since everyone's risk tolerance is different, we'll assume we'll all sell at the aforementioned levels. This way it's easier to calculate the number of days. 2) Sell at 50% loss. 
As you can see the win-loss record is 67%. The plays with the dash in Current column means it was sold since it hit 100%. The win-loss record for CLOSING plays is 9-1 so your profits would be $8500 in three weeks. We'll have to see how the open plays pan out. |
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