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EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29392
Ignore EWZuber
10/21/2003 2:41:57 PM

Intraday follow up.
NVDA gapped up a tad this morning and used the 25 DMA as temporary support. As I mentioned before this will not work longer term but acts as a good stepping stone temporarily. Consequently NVDA will need to get above the 50 DMA in a hurry. I suspect it will.
The 50 DMA is being tested as resistance right now.
Even if it holds as resistance today I suspect tomorrow morning NVDA will gap above the 50 DMA and test it as support or just break through it on an intraday run.
Volume is very good today and i suspect institutions are loading up.

The scene has been set and it looks like NVDA is about to start a long term move higher. But thats JMHO


EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29394
Ignore EWZuber
10/21/2003 2:50:32 PM

Looks like something might be happening at AAC. The stock that I started this thread with. It has been basing for quite a while and it looks like it may be getting ready to finally move. I suspect will know shortly.


EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29401
Ignore EWZuber
10/21/2003 5:38:23 PM

After the close,
NVDA closed todays gap in intraday trading and tested the 50 DMA as resistance and it held.
NVDA violated the Hourly chart stochastic cycle which drove the Daily chart stochastic cycle to +xover as anticipated. NVDA can not stay here though. So it seems now we have a few possibilities.
One, NVDA could drop to test short term trendline supprt at $17.35 on the 5 minute chart.
Two, NVDA could gap up in the morning to the 50 DMA @ $17.80.
Three, NVDA could complete the Hourly chart stochastic distribution cycle and drop to test the 15 HR.MA @ $17.14 ( & rising ).
Four, NVDA will stay on the 25 DMA and ride it down.

I suspect that NVDA will gap up above the 50 DMA and test it as support. These intraday support levels mean nothing to end of day traders. Big money realizes this. I suspect they also realize that NVDA can not find lasting support here because the 25 DMA is in a downtrend. With Daily, weekly and Quarterly chart waves all in phase and in accumulation with Monthly chart fast and slow lines converging at a cycle bottom, the stock should have a substantial upwared momentum building, which we have already evidenced. Volume is building. Notice how it took a break above the 25 DMA and short term 4 day TL resistance to attract enough attention to build the volume. While Big money has been entering positions for about 3 weeks. JMHO
Guess we'll see tomorrow.




EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29409
Ignore EWZuber
10/22/2003 1:15:32 PM

Intraday, NVDA opened lower due to a major gap down at the open in the markets. All indexes have been well into the red today with the exception of the Natural Gas index ( XNG ) and Gold & Silver Index ( XAU ). The SOX is down ( -2.5% ) as I write this and yet NVDA is down only ( -0.23% ). This attests to the individual strength of the stock.
This market pressure has caused the stock to settle for the 25 DMA as support today again and this is not good. If this continues it will further the spread between NVDA and good support at the 50 DMA.

The NASDAQ has a double top looking pattern combined with a head & shoulders pattern on hourly charts. It is oversold on hourly charts right now so it is important that we see some buying in the second half of the session or face the possibility of a substantial pullback. If this Weekly accumulation phase is muted then the markets are in for a big pullback and this will be the confirmation that the Monthly chart is indeed influencing shorter term waves and that the Monthly chart stochastic distribution phase has begun. Its just too early to tell for sure, IMO.


EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29427
Ignore EWZuber
10/23/2003 9:47:26 AM

Before the open
Markets to open lower again today after more poor tech earnings. FLEX came in low among others.
The uptrend for NVDA that began on 9/29 is still intact and trendline support sits at $16.72 ( & rising ).


TheRumpledOne
6,529 posts
msg #29431
Ignore TheRumpledOne
10/23/2003 1:27:24 PM

EWZuber:

Thank you for persisting even though there are a few hard-headed people here who rather argue than learn. "Some people just can't be reached."

I appreciate your efforts. Please keep up the good work.

MAY ALL YOUR FILLS BE COMPLETE.


EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29434
Ignore EWZuber
10/23/2003 2:10:33 PM

Thanks for the encouragement. In all the several years I have been posting on stock and even the hotly debated political boards boards ( well over 5,000 posts ) I have only put 3 people on ignore. There comes a point though that it becomes evident that an individual has no intention of debating in good faith and thats when I pull the plug cause it's of no use and a waste of my time.

Today the SOX is down ( -2.6% ) and NVDA is up +0.9%. NVDA has been outperforming the market the past 3 days. The 50 DMA isn't out of reach yet but NVDA could use some help from a good day in the market to get there.

Looks like NASDAQ wants to rise to test ther gap @ 1,891 as resistance. JMHO


TheRumpledOne
6,529 posts
msg #29435
Ignore TheRumpledOne
10/23/2003 2:41:46 PM

I usually check the indices on www.prophet.net before the markets opens.

Nasdaq hit the lower linear regression line and bounced on the intraday. It also had a positive divergence. It is below the 26 ema but the uptrend looks intact so far.

Some of my favs like GENR, SONS and EXTR are ready to be loaded on the boat...lol Also PACW, may bounce soon.

For the "penny pinchers" ADOT showed life today. MOBL and CESY give a nice daily scalp. AACS may bust out soon.

MAY ALL YOUR FILLS BE COMPLETE.






EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29437
Ignore EWZuber
10/23/2003 2:45:43 PM

A short term precision entry ( 5 minute chart ) into NVDA is at 2:40 PM @$17.32 where NVDA came down to test old trendline resistance as support.
The trendline runs from the high on 10/21 @ 2:55 @ $17.88 across the high of 10/22 @ 3:50 @ $17.53 to the present.
A more aggressive entry was at 12:50 @ $17.03 where a more aggressive trendline formed from the high of 10/22 @ 4:55 @ $17.46 to a high today at 11:25 @ $17.27 and down. Notice how the stock perfectly follows the trendline down today. Where the trendline is broken at 12:50 draw a horizontal line to the right and see where the stock rises above this resistance. This is an excellent entry and will be very difficult to get shaken out of without due justification.
As I write this the short term ( a daytraders trendline ) is being tested as support @ $17.45.
For the swing trader, trendline support is at about $17.36. From the low @ 12:50 to the low @ 1:35 & up. JMHO


EWZuber
1,373 posts
msg #29438
Ignore EWZuber
10/23/2003 3:03:28 PM

Correction last line should read $17.25.


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